Ratios Fundamentales
ICG. Indice de Crecimiento Global.
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29/04/2016 La economía USA no da señales claras de recuperación.
Esta semana pasada hemos tenido la reunión de política monetaria habitual del comité de la FOMC El resultado ha sido el descontado por el mercado y Janet Yellen y sus colegas han pospuesto una vez la subida de tipos de interés. Sin duda, la sorpresa hubiera sido que se hubiera producido algún movimiento en ese sentido, y el motivo principal es que es evidente que los resultados de las medidas aplicadas han favorecido la recuperación de la economía del abismo, pero se está demostrando que la misma receta es incapaz de hacer que la economía salga de la fase de recesión y se consolide en una nueva fase de crecimiento o ciclo alcista.
Para simplificar esto, hemos desarrollado un indicador que quiere expresar la evolución de una economía determinada atendiendo a varios parámetros:
- Mercado Laboral
- Mercado de la Vivienda / Sector de la Construcción
- Producción industrial
- Sector Servicios
AHora hemos decidido añadir el indicador a nuestro catálogo web, desde donde podréis ir haciendo el seguimiento del mismo. Nosotros actualizaremos el gráfico en cuanto se produzcan alteraciones dignas de mención. Como primera revisión podemos destacar que la divergencia entre las economías de USA y Europa sigue bien presente, aunque se ha reducido debido a la ralentización en USA producida en los últimos períodos. Esta ralentización parece que finaliza, y ante un escenario de paulatina recuperación en los EE.UU. veremos si este diferencial vuelve a aumentar o Europa logra cambiar la tendencia, que hasta este momento es claramente bajista.
El ICG pondera indicadores referentes a estos datos de la economía para sacar un único valor que indique la evolución de la misma con periodicidad mensual
